Just got my 3rd D.Kali all from Single YOLO rolls.

Discussion in 'Rants and Accomplishments' started by Joshsp1985, Aug 13, 2016.

  1. Joshsp1985

    Joshsp1985 Well-Known Member

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    What the f ...... the kicker? I don't even use her.

    Someone good with odds, what's the odds of rolling 1/1000 3 different times? Has to be lottery level nonsense.
     
  2. ViewtifulGene

    ViewtifulGene Mostly Retired. Still A Lazy Shit.

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    I don't know what the odds are of YOLOing 3 DKali, but I do know your odds of finding some shit in your chimney.
     
  3. Trap

    Trap Well-Known Member

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    Congrats!

    From Wikipedia, if you're interested:

    "The probability of getting k successes in n trials [when each trial has success probabilty p] is given by...

    (n choose k)p^k(1 - p)^(n - k)."

    So k would be 3, n would be how many times you've rolled, and p would be the rate of rolling a DKali. Formula looks much nicer when you can actually properly show the choose function, but oh well. Blame the forums, not me.
     
  4. Joshsp1985

    Joshsp1985 Well-Known Member

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    I got 1 in 1 billion assuming D.Kali is 1 in 1000
     
  5. Trap

    Trap Well-Known Member

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    That's out of 3 rolls. You have to add in how many rolls you actually did between getting the first and third DKali. Assuming 1/1000 for a DKali, and 100 rolls, the probability is: 0.000146744684, or ~0.01467%, which makes sense. You have a higher chance of getting 3 DKalis in 100 rolls than 1 DKali in 1 roll.
     
  6. CloudStrife

    CloudStrife Well-Known Member

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    Welcome to the Gene has dropped a serious deuce in my chimney club.
     
  7. Joshsp1985

    Joshsp1985 Well-Known Member

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    I was just talking about my 3 YOLO rolls so 3 rolls total
     
  8. Orree

    Orree A day late and a combo short...

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    Cripes..you roll D.Kalis almost as much as I roll L.Kalis. I'm up to about 6 or 7 at this point and no D.Kali...lol.
     
  9. ambiguous57

    ambiguous57 Well-Known Member

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    I YOLO'd one the day she came out. I was very happy, but it was a little while before I started using her in serious teams.

    I've also pulled 2 since then but they were in the middle of huge pull streaks.

    For my 3rd one, I debated calling it quits and stopping there even though she was an unnecessary dupe, but I rolled one more time and got Eschamali.
     
  10. awkward.fistbumps

    awkward.fistbumps semi-retired from pad. Full stam most days

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    Grats! I've given up on dkali ever making an appearance in my box. It's ok I visit her everyday in arena so I see her often enough.
     
    Jchunksgt and Reine like this.
  11. Trap

    Trap Well-Known Member

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    But you can't just ignore all the other rolls... It's like rolling 5 packs for an Esch and then talking about the probability of rolling her on the one roll that you finally did.
     
  12. Pacodios

    Pacodios Resident Teambuilding Dingus

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    Or you could be like me and have two yolo rolls and two eschamalis to show for it...
     
  13. Iluvatar

    Iluvatar Semi-IAP..damn you GH

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  14. Jchunksgt

    Jchunksgt nOOb

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    I've got two D Kalis...on my alt :banghead:
     
  15. dumpong

    dumpong Active Member

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    Same man. With blonias.
    Two's great. I DONT NEED THREE STOP IT
     

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